Article,

Marginal structural models and causal inference in epidemiology.

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Epidemiology (Cambridge, Mass.), 11 (5): 550-60 (September 2000)4777<m:linebreak></m:linebreak>LR: 20071114; GR: R01-AI32475/AI/NIAID NIH HHS/United States; JID: 9009644; 0 (Anti-HIV Agents); 30516-87-1 (Zidovudine); ppublish;<m:linebreak></m:linebreak>Causalitat; Dades longitudinals; Marginal structural models.

Abstract

In observational studies with exposures or treatments that vary over time, standard approaches for adjustment of confounding are biased when there exist time-dependent confounders that are also affected by previous treatment. This paper introduces marginal structural models, a new class of causal models that allow for improved adjustment of confounding in those situations. The parameters of a marginal structural model can be consistently estimated using a new class of estimators, the inverse-probability-of-treatment weighted estimators.

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