The Temporal Stage fallacy: A novel statistical fallacy in the medical literature.
D. Shier, and J. Tilson. Medicine, health care, and philosophy, 9 (2):
243-7(January 2006)4808<m:linebreak></m:linebreak>JID: 9815900; ppublish;<m:linebreak></m:linebreak>Mesures d'associació.
DOI: 10.1007/s11019-005-3349-2
Abstract
Celebrated for disproving the traditional view that lack of oxygen at birth (perinatal asphyxia) contributes significantly to cerebral palsy, a 1986 New England Journal of Medicine article by Karin Nelson and Jonas Ellenberg engineered a new consensus in the medical community: that lack of oxygen at birth rarely causes cerebral palsy. We demonstrate that the article's central argument relies on straightforwardly fallacious statistical reasoning, and we discuss significant implications--e.g. how carefully fetuses are monitored during labor and delivery, expert testimony in malpractice cases, and public policy decisions.
%0 Journal Article
%1 Shier2006
%A Shier, David
%A Tilson, J Lee
%D 2006
%J Medicine, health care, and philosophy
%K AsphyxiaNeonatorum AsphyxiaNeonatorum:complications BiomedicalResearch BiomedicalResearch:statistics&numericaldata BirthInjuries BirthInjuries:complications CerebralPalsy CerebralPalsy:etiology Humans Infant Models Newborn Statistical
%N 2
%P 243-7
%R 10.1007/s11019-005-3349-2
%T The Temporal Stage fallacy: A novel statistical fallacy in the medical literature.
%U http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/16850203
%V 9
%X Celebrated for disproving the traditional view that lack of oxygen at birth (perinatal asphyxia) contributes significantly to cerebral palsy, a 1986 New England Journal of Medicine article by Karin Nelson and Jonas Ellenberg engineered a new consensus in the medical community: that lack of oxygen at birth rarely causes cerebral palsy. We demonstrate that the article's central argument relies on straightforwardly fallacious statistical reasoning, and we discuss significant implications--e.g. how carefully fetuses are monitored during labor and delivery, expert testimony in malpractice cases, and public policy decisions.
%@ 1386-7423
@article{Shier2006,
abstract = {Celebrated for disproving the traditional view that lack of oxygen at birth (perinatal asphyxia) contributes significantly to cerebral palsy, a 1986 New England Journal of Medicine article by Karin Nelson and Jonas Ellenberg engineered a new consensus in the medical community: that lack of oxygen at birth rarely causes cerebral palsy. We demonstrate that the article's central argument relies on straightforwardly fallacious statistical reasoning, and we discuss significant implications--e.g. how carefully fetuses are monitored during labor and delivery, expert testimony in malpractice cases, and public policy decisions.},
added-at = {2023-02-03T11:44:35.000+0100},
author = {Shier, David and Tilson, J Lee},
biburl = {https://www.bibsonomy.org/bibtex/218280accb4ab24a5d036c3501d2edbec/jepcastel},
city = {Department of Philosophy, Washington State University, P O Box 645130, Pullman, WA 99164-5130, USA.},
doi = {10.1007/s11019-005-3349-2},
interhash = {9fc6dc286e5b409b71275fef0ca5c73f},
intrahash = {18280accb4ab24a5d036c3501d2edbec},
isbn = {1386-7423},
issn = {1386-7423},
journal = {Medicine, health care, and philosophy},
keywords = {AsphyxiaNeonatorum AsphyxiaNeonatorum:complications BiomedicalResearch BiomedicalResearch:statistics&numericaldata BirthInjuries BirthInjuries:complications CerebralPalsy CerebralPalsy:etiology Humans Infant Models Newborn Statistical},
month = {1},
note = {4808<m:linebreak></m:linebreak>JID: 9815900; ppublish;<m:linebreak></m:linebreak>Mesures d'associació},
number = 2,
pages = {243-7},
pmid = {16850203},
timestamp = {2023-02-03T11:44:35.000+0100},
title = {The Temporal Stage fallacy: A novel statistical fallacy in the medical literature.},
url = {http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/16850203},
volume = 9,
year = 2006
}